Voters react to post-Referendum world

A divided public and disunited political parties

In the wake of the Referendum result, followed by one of the most un-predictable weeks in politics, Opinium Research tried to better understand how the UK population is reacting now they are faced with the reality of Brexit and a new prime minister.

Perhaps with this volatile situation in mind, 7% of those who voted Leave feel like they did not make the right choice, compared to just 3% amongst those who voted Remain.

Extricating the UK from the EU

When it comes to the negotiations to extricate the UK from the European Union, 43% think it’s unlikely we’ll be able to stay in the single market and limit freedom of movement, including three in ten (29%) Leave voters.

For a third (33%) curbing immigration is of the utmost importance in the negotiations with the EU while for 37% staying in the single market is the priority.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Leavers want to prioritise the end of free movement of labour (58%), while Remainers want to prioritise staying in the single market (65%).

The UK and its new future

The majority of Brits (60%) think we should have a general election before official negotiations begin, with just over half (55%) of all UK adults believing that the next Prime Minister needs to be pro-Brexit to get the best exit deal from the EU.

However, with a Conservative government in power, there needs to be a trusted leader in place, and for a quarter (24%) of the nation, Theresa May is the favourite to take Cameron’s place in number 10 come 9th September. However, two in five (41%) think a Tory leadership election will cause uncertainty.

Amongst Labour voters, although the favourite single choice of leader is Corbyn, he was the preferred choice for only a quarter (24%) of Labour voters – a poor showing for an incumbent leader. However, a third (32%) of UK adults thinks a Labour leadership election will stop them holding the Government to account.

Guiding the UK through Brexit

When it comes to actually leading these negotiations, the Tories are the most trusted (28%) – amongst both Remainers (24%) and Leavers (34%) – followed by Labour (13%) and UKIP (11%).

Only half (50%) of Labour voters trust their own party most to lead the negotiations. Perhaps unsurprising given that half (52%) of Labour voters believe the party to be “very divided”. This appears to be the agreed opinion towards both main parties, with 60% thinking the Tories are divided and 81% saying the same about Labour, with two thirds (63%) believing Labour to be “very divided”.

Notes to Journalists:

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 2001 UK adults aged 18+ from 28 June to 30 June 2016. Results have been weighted to representative criteria.